Oil, dollar and bond yields sharply higher after OPEC deal

December 1, 2016
Published in Economy

Men walk past an electronic board showing Japan's Nikkei average outside a brokerage in Tokyo

TOKYO: Crude prices, the dollar and bond yields were sharply elevated early on Thursday after OPEC agreed to a deal to reduce output to clear a supply glut that has crunched oil prices and stoked global deflationary pressures.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Wednesday agreed to its first output cut since 2008, with Saudi Arabia accepting “a big hit” on its production. Non-OPEC Russia will also join output reductions for the first time in 15 years to help OPEC prop up oil prices.

U.S. crude oil CLc1 soared more than 9 percent overnight to a one-month high just shy of $50.00 a barrel. The contracts were a fraction lower at $49.22 a barrel early on Thursday. Brent crude LCOc1 were just above $51.00 a barrel after rallying to a six-week peak of $52.37.

The jump in oil prices added to inflation expectations in the United States, which were already high on prospects that president-elect Donald Trump would enact reflationary policies funded by large fiscal stimulus.

As a result U.S. Treasuries resumed their rout, with prices sliding and yields spiking, to send the dollar rallying against its peers. The yield on 30-year bonds US30YT=RR, which are most sensitive to inflation eroding their value, climbed about 9 basis points to 2.39 percent overnight, taking it back towards 14-month peaks marked last week. [US/]

Traders work on the floor of the NYSE

“The reflation trade continues to work in earnest, this time Trump has taken a back seat and OPEC and Russia have taken the initiative and lit the fuse under the oil price,” wrote Chris Weston, chief market strategist at IG in Melbourne.

“The consensus was that we would get some sort of loose agreement from the collective that kept oil supported, but left the market asking many more questions. What we have seen however has been real meat on the bone.”

The dollar touched a 9-1/2-month high of 114.830 yen, adding to gains made overnight when it surged 1.8 percent. The euro was steady at $1.0596 EUR= after shedding 0.6 percent the previous day.

The dollar index .DXY was firm at 101.51 after rallying overnight from a low of 100.84.

The Australian dollar, sensitive to changes in commodity prices and risk sentiment, was up 0.2 percent at $0.7396 AUD=D4 after losing more than 1 percent the previous day.

In Asian equities, Australian stocks were up 0.7 percent and Japan’s Nikkei .N225 gained more than 1 percent on a weaker yen to hit an 11-month peak MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.1 percent.

The region’s stocks failed to draw much incentive from Wall Street, where shares ended mostly lower on Wednesday as drops in utilities and technology offset energy’s surge. [.N]

Spot gold XAU= was firm at $1,172.46 an ounce after sliding 1.3 percent overnight to a 10-month low of $1,170.35 on the dollar’s oil-induced surge. – Reuters

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Story first published: 1st December 2016


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