US President Donald Trump is exploring targeted military options against Iran aimed at empowering protesters after a deadly crackdown, according to sources. Experts warn that such strikes could escalate tensions across the Middle East.

Trump’s advisers are reportedly considering strikes on Iranian leaders and security forces to encourage anti-government demonstrations. Sources told Reuters that the goal is to give protesters the confidence to challenge state authority after a nationwide crackdown left thousands dead.

Options under discussion also include broader attacks on Iran’s ballistic missile sites or nuclear enrichment facilities to create a lasting strategic impact. However, a final decision on military action has not yet been made.

Expanded US military presence

The arrival of a US aircraft carrier and supporting warships in the Middle East this week increases Washington’s operational options. Trump warned Iran that any future US attacks would surpass the scale of last June’s strikes on three nuclear sites and described the naval deployment as an “armada” moving toward the country.

Iran prepares for responses

Iran is reportedly preparing for a potential military confrontation while keeping diplomatic channels open. A senior Iranian official emphasized that Tehran is ready for dialogue based on mutual respect but will defend itself “like never before” if provoked.

The Iranian government maintains its nuclear program is civilian, a claim long disputed by Western nations. Iran’s mission to the UN also warned of unprecedented retaliation if forced into conflict.

Israeli officials question whether airstrikes alone can induce regime change in Iran. A senior official involved in US-Israel coordination said removing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei would not automatically collapse the system, as leadership would be quickly replaced. US intelligence assessments reportedly concur, noting that while protests and economic crises have weakened the government, it remains firmly in control.

Khamenei’s continued influence

At 86, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has scaled back daily governance and public appearances, delegating much of the administration to Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) allies, including senior adviser Ali Larijani. Despite this, Khamenei retains ultimate authority over war decisions, nuclear policy, and succession.

Human rights group HRANA estimates 5,937 deaths during the unrest, including 214 security personnel. Iranian official counts place the toll at 3,117.

Gulf allies worry that US strikes could provoke Iranian missile or drone attacks, possibly through Tehran-aligned groups in Yemen. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman, and Egypt have reportedly urged Washington against such action, emphasizing that their airspace and territory cannot be used.

Arab officials warn, “The United States may pull the trigger, but it will not live with the consequences. We will.”