Pakistan to face up to 26% higher monsoon rains in 2026: NDMA

Pakistan is bracing for significantly intensified weather patterns, with the NDMA warning that the 2026 monsoon could bring 22–26% more rainfall.

As climate risks mount, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has approved an urgent short-term plan to reduce expected losses and strengthen coordination with provinces.

The NDMA director general, in a press conference on Wednesday, said the intensity of weather events is increasing across Pakistan, and substantial preparation is required at both federal and provincial levels.

He revealed that 3.1 million people had been relocated to safer areas this year due to climate-related emergencies, underscoring the scale of vulnerability.

According to NDMA projections, rainfall in 2026 is expected to be 22–26% higher, posing heightened flood risks. The DG added that rainfall intensity may decrease in June or July, but larger climatic shifts continue to reshape seasonal patterns.

Glaciers expanding, adding to climate challenges

Pakistan is home to around 7,500 glaciers, and the NDMA chief noted these glaciers are increasing by 2–3%, contributing to glacial lake formation and water-related hazards.

He stressed that the federation and provinces “have many works to do” to prepare for both immediate and long-term threats.

The NDMA DG said the authority issues early warnings six to eight months ahead, allowing provinces to prepare more effectively. “If we talk about weeks, the provinces will be able to take better measures,” he added.

He confirmed that decisions related to tourism management in vulnerable areas have been finalized, and recommendations for managing river inflows have also been prepared.

PM Shehbaz approves climate resilience plan

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has approved a short-term plan aimed at preventing the harmful effects of climate change and ordered immediate implementation.

He stressed that preparations must begin now to minimize losses during the upcoming monsoon season and directed officials to work jointly with provincial governments to develop a coordinated climate response.

Sharif warned that every third year, Pakistan is forced to spend a “significant portion” of its GDP battling climate impacts -- resources that should go toward national development.

“Despite Pakistan’s negligible role in climate change, it remains in the grip of harmful effects,” he said.

National Water Council meeting to be convened

The prime minister also instructed authorities to prepare for a meeting of the National Water Council, focusing on improved water management and long-term planning.

Officials briefed the meeting on global monsoon projections for next year, as well as short-, medium-, and long-term climate strategies prepared by the Ministry of Climate Change.

Sharif emphasized that Pakistan must act decisively to safeguard lives, protect infrastructure, and build resilience against the rapidly evolving climate crisis.